Many Thanks goes to Christopher Cogswell for researching and sharing this information with Azurite Press.

I received an email forwarded from the Cosmic Clock e-list in mid-June which suggested that solar activity was going crazy and actually had government officials worried that satellites and power grids may be at risk. So I thought it might be interesting to find out whether there was a correlation between the sun's flares, and the Hetharo. What became obvious (after many hours of data entry) was that within a couple hours of the Hour of Silence some major events were happening on the Sun. X-Class are the powerful flares that can fry satellites and take out power grids on Earth - one flare in 1989 took down many grids in Montreal in winter, so people were packed 20+ in a house to keep warm!

It is extraordinary enough that an X-Class flare happened at 2:07 am Paxos time on the morning of May 28, just after the Hour of Silence! If that weren't enough, there was an even larger flare which happened at 3:25 am! As I worked backwards in time from June and the Hetharo inputting data, I kept expecting to see more big flares, as I didn't grasp how rare they are. So I was quite surprised to go all the way back to 1/1/03 and find just two other X-Class flares for that whole five month period! (If I had more time I would input all of 2002 as well....)

I also looked into whether these flares could be explained by recurring cycles and found that the 11 year sunspot/flare cycle started in 1996 and peaked in 2001. The 27-day cycle started on May 6th and peaked on the 21st. Neither of these cycles therefore can explain what has happened since the Hetharo.

Regarding the graph, you'll also notice that the density of particles being thrown at us from the sun (pink line) hit its highest level for 2003 immediately after the Hetharo. The two lines peaking immediately after the Hetharo do make for an impressive graph, don't they? Two other things to note about the graph: 1) "sunspot activity" records the single most powerful flare event for a given day, not the total number of events for that day; 2) an arbitrary but consistent scale was created to represent the various classes of sunspots, numbered from 0 to 70.

 

Another way to read the data:

Pre-Hetharo X-Class Flares (1/1/03 to 5/26/03)

1) March 17 X1

2) March 18 X1

Hetharo and Post-Hetharo X-Class Flares (5/27-)

1) May 27 X1 11:07 UT (2:07am 5/28 Paxos; 4:07pm 5/27 Mesa)

2) May 28 X3 00:25 UT (3:25am 5/28 Paxos; 5:25pm 5/27 Mesa)

3) May 29 X1 01:05 UT

4) June 9 X1

5) June 11 X1

6) June 16 X1

What's Up in Space -- 28 May 2003
 

SOLAR BLAST: Magnetic fields near sunspot 365 erupted on May 27th and 28th, sparking a series of X-class solar flares and hurling at least one coronal mass ejection (CME) toward Earth. Geomagnetic activity could intensify on May 29th or 30th when the cloud sweeps past our planet. Sunspot 365 remains a threat for Earth-directed explosions in the days ahead.

What's Up in Space -- 29 May 2003

AURORA WARNING: Two solar coronal mass ejections swept past Earth on May 29th: one at 1215 UT (8:15 a.m. EDT) and another at 1900 UT (2:00 p.m. EDT). Our planet's magnetic field is still reverberating from the impacts. Sky watchers everywhere should be alert for possible auroras after local nightfall. Because the moon is nearly-new, lunar glare will not interfere with faint Northern or Southern Lights.

What's Up in Space -- 22 Jun 2003

UNSEASONAL AURORAS: Solstices are usually poor times for aurora watching (equinoxes are better). Curiously, though, the weeks leading up to this solstice have been filled with Northern Lights. Since late May auroras have appeared as far south as Michigan, Washington, Wisconsin ... even Virginia. Much like Earth weather, it seems, space weather is full of surprises. Above: Philippe Moussette photographed these Northern Lights over Québec on June 21st. [gallery]

 

About Solar Flare Classification and Frequency (excerpt)

...The Space Environment Center also classifies flares by their x-ray intensity. X-ray flare classification is based on a flare's maximum x-ray power output (data received from the GOES satellite) according to the order of magnitude of the peak burst intensity (I), measured at Earth in the 0.1 to 0.8 NM band as follows:

 

Peak Flux Range (0.1-0.8 NM)

 
Classification

mks system (W m-2)

cgs system (erg cm-2 s-1)

B

I < 10-6

I < 10-3

C

10-6< I < 10-5

10-3 < I < 10-2 

M

10-5 < I < 10-4

10-2 < I < 10-1

X

10-4 < I 10-1

10-4 < I 10-1 

Five standard terms are used to describe the general level of solar activity:

Very Low Just < C-class x-ray events
Low C-class x-ray events 
Moderate Isolated (1 to 4) M-class x-ray events
High Several (> 5) M-class x-ray events, or isolated (1 to 4) M5 or greater x-ray events
Very High Several (> 5) M5 or greater x-ray events

 

One last thing - after seeing the Hetharo/solar flare correlation I was curious to see if other multidimensional events might also be so correlated. I went back to March 23, 2002 to see if anything went haywire on that day and sure enough, while there were no unusual flare or density events, there was a shock wave in the solar wind that I still haven't been able to find an explanation - or precedent for. I include that excerpt immediately below (again, my italics added). Having searched the archives for many, many days I can say that this shock wave is most unusual.

 

What's Up in Space -- 23 Mar 2002

AURORA WATCH: An interplanetary shock wave (of uncertain origin) swept past Earth on March 23rd, but it did not spark Northern Lights. Meanwhile, another shock wave might be on the way. A coronal mass ejection (pictured right) that left the Sun on March 22nd at 1100 UT could deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetosphere on March 24th or 25th. Sky watchers in northern Europe, Canada, and along the Northern tier of US states should be alert for auroras this weekend.

 

One final graph, below, shows the exact Universal Time of the solar flare events around the Hetharo, followed by a picture sequence that shows the Sun flaring just after the Hetharo.

 

1am Paxos time 5/28/03

2:12am Paxos time, 5/28/03 - during the X1 flare (note center right) (4:12pm 5/27 Mesa time)

2:36am Paxos time, 5/28/03 - the X1 flare dies down

3:24am Paxos time, 5/28/03 - during the X3 flare (again center right)

3:36am Paxos time, 5/28/03 - the X3 flare begins to decline

6:00am Paxos time, 5/28/03 - things have "calmed down" on the Sun....

 

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